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Stock Advance Auto Parts, Inc. AAP

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. — Investlytic score 1/5 on the five criteria.

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20/ 100
Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 1/5 criteria met. Data as of 01/11/2026.

  • ❌ Price trend failed
  • ❌ Growth failed
  • ❌ Debt failed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ❌ Correction failed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).

Price change 2018 → 2019: 1.71%

Price change 2019 → 2020: -1.65%

Price change 2020 → 2021: 52.30%

Price change 2021 → 2022: -38.71%

Price change 2022 → 2023: -58.49%

Price change 2023 → 2024: -22.51%

Price change 2024 → 2025: -16.90%

Price change 2025 → 2026: 14.78%

Price change 2026 (year to date): 15.99%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): -1.53%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): -27.65%

Growth status: weak or negative trend (<1%/yr) in revenue and earnings.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 2.38

Debt/equity > 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 13.92

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 28.42% from the high over 6 months.

Excessive correction (> 20.0%).

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Criteria of the Investlytic model

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Score out of 100, model verdict (buy, watch, sell) and details of the 5 criteria · visible with a free account.

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Price trend

Price & trend

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⚖️ Comparison with the market

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StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.13.92.38+2.5 %🔒
Trigano S.A.9.70.18+11.7 %★ 4/5
Lagardere S.A.12.75.77+0.8 %–
Valeo SE13.51.98+5.3 %–
Verallia S.A.43.02.58+4.2 %–

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

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Detailed analysis · Price trend

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Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

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Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

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Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

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Financial indicators

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18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

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Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
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Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

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Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Advance Auto Parts, Inc. over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
8.6 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
44.0 m USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
0.5 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
-3.2 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
-1.2 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
2.7 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
202010.1 bn493 m4.9 %n/a
202111.0 bn597 m5.4 %+8.8 %
20229.1 bn464 m5.1 %-16.8 %
20239.2 bn29.7 m0.3 %+0.7 %
20249.1 bn-336 m-3.7 %-1.2 %
20258.6 bn44.0 m0.5 %-5.4 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.

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Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Advance Auto Parts, Inc. over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
fragile accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
1.78
risk zone (below 1.81)
Piotroski Score
6 / 9
4 to 6: average accounts
DCF Value
25.61 USD
DCF below share price · share price 46.04 USD, gap -44.4 %
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.42 x
high debt
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments601 m271 m488 m1.9 bn3.1 bn
Total Debt3.4 bn3.7 bn3.8 bn3.7 bn5.2 bn
Net Debt2.8 bn3.4 bn3.3 bn1.8 bn2.1 bn
Equity3.1 bn2.6 bn2.5 bn2.2 bn2.2 bn
Total assets12.2 bn12.0 bn12.3 bn10.8 bn11.8 bn
Operating cash flow1.1 bn737 m287 m84.6 m-46.0 m
Investments (capex)290 m399 m226 m181 m252 m
Free cash-flow817 m336 m61.7 m-96.2 m-298 m
Share buybacks906 m618 m14.5 m6.5 m0
Dividends paid161 m336 m209 m59.9 m60.0 m

Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)27.41 x
Price / book value1.22 x
Return on Equity (ROE)4.5 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)3.3 %
Net margin1.2 %
Debt / equity2.29 x
Current ratio1.63 x
Interest coverage1.49 x
Free cash-flow yield0.8 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.

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Valuation and competitors

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.

Company P/E
14.0
35.2 % below the sector
Sector median P/E
21.6
consumer cyclical, NYSE
Sector over 10 years
24.7
10-year median, range 16.6 to 35.2

Direct competitors

CompanyMarket cap (USD)P/ENet margin
Advance Auto Parts, Inc.2.7 bn13.90.5 %
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. ASO3.6 bn9.36.2 %
Rh RH2.8 bn34.93.6 %
The Buckle, Inc. BKE2.4 bn10.616.2 %
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. AEO3.3 bn10.06.2 %
Visteon Corporation VC1.8 bn8.05.3 %
Peloton Interactive, Inc. PTON2.2 bn42.7-4.8 %
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. DRVN2.0 bn9.87.5 %
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation FUN765 mn/a-51.6 %
Sector median (NYSE)21.6

Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on . Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.

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Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Advance Auto Parts, Inc. publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
hold
45 analysts
Average price target
49.06 USD
from n/a to n/a, 38 targets over 12 months
Gap with the share price
+8.8 %
price 45.11 USD on 30/10/2026

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 0buy 12hold 27sell 6strong sell 0

Analysts' average target 49.06 USD, DCF value 25.61 USD, share price 45.11 USD.

Average target over the last 3 months: 49.06 USD (16 targets).

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 7 times over the last 12 releases.

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

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Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Free float
99.5 %
share of freely traded shares
Large funds tracked
20
hold the stock as of 2026Q2

Large funds tracked

FundSharesValue (USD)Weight in the fundChangeQuarter
BlackRock9.4 m582 m0.0 %+4.8 %2026Q2
T. Rowe Price8.4 m524 m0.1 %+5.6 %2026Q2
State Street5.1 m317 m0.0 %+109.5 %2026Q2
Vanguard Group6.8 m268 m0.0 %-0.2 %2025Q4
Goldman Sachs2.1 m130 m0.0 %+103.9 %2026Q2
Geode Capital Management1.6 m97.5 m0.0 %+6.7 %2026Q2
Morgan Stanley1.0 m62.9 m0.0 %+100.0 %2026Q2
Bank of America958,30259.6 m0.0 %-9.3 %2026Q2

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 08/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

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PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
head office outside the EU and EEA
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 29/11/2001
ISIN code
US00751Y1064
Workforce
33,200
full-time employees
Chief executive
Shane M. O'Kelly

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

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Frequently asked questions about Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

What is the Advance Auto Parts, Inc. share price?

Latest recorded price: 45.50 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 2.7 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Advance Auto Parts, Inc.?

8.6 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 44.0 m USD (net margin 0.5 %).

What do analysts say about Advance Auto Parts, Inc.?

Out of 45 analysts: 12 buy or strong buy, 27 hold, 6 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 49.06 USD, i.e. +8.8 % from the share price.

What is the P/E ratio of Advance Auto Parts, Inc.?

Trailing 12-month P/E of 14.0, against 21.6 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 24.7).

Is Advance Auto Parts, Inc. stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: the company is headquartered outside the European Union and the European Economic Area (ISIN US00751Y1064).

How many employees does Advance Auto Parts, Inc. have?

33,200 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Advance Auto Parts, Inc.?

Shane M. O'Kelly is the company's chief executive.

Which large funds own Advance Auto Parts, Inc.?

As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: BlackRock, T. Rowe Price, State Street, Vanguard Group, Goldman Sachs.

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