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Stock Assured Guaranty Ltd. AGO

Assured Guaranty Ltd. — Investlytic score 4/5 on the five criteria.

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80/ 100
Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 4/5 criteria met. Data as of 04/11/2026.

  • ✅ Price trend passed
  • ❌ Growth failed
  • ✅ Debt passed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ✅ Correction passed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): the price has been multiplied by at least 1.5.

Price change 2018 → 2019: 28.06%

Price change 2019 → 2020: -35.76%

Price change 2020 → 2021: 59.42%

Price change 2021 → 2022: 24.02%

Price change 2022 → 2023: 20.19%

Price change 2023 → 2024: 20.29%

Price change 2024 → 2025: -0.16%

Price change 2025 → 2026: -20.67%

Price change 2026 (year to date): -19.66%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): -3.17%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): -0.50%

Growth status: weak or negative trend (<1%/yr) in revenue and earnings.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.30

Debt/equity < 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 8.64

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 16.60% from the high over 6 months.

Correction between 10.0% and 20.0% (target range).

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Criteria of the Investlytic model

- / 5
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Investlytic rating reserved for members

Score out of 100, model verdict (buy, watch, sell) and details of the 5 criteria · visible with a free account.

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Price trend

Price & trend

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⚖️ Comparison with the market

All stocks →
StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Assured Guaranty Ltd.8.50.30−4.6 %🔒
Eurazeo SE–0.20−14.3 %–
Coface S.A.10.91.06+0.8 %–
Wendel–1.89+2.4 %–
Riot Platforms, Inc.–0.30+62.7 %–

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

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Detailed analysis · Price trend

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Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

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Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

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Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

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Financial indicators

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18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

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Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
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Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

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Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Assured Guaranty Ltd. over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
788 m USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
503 m USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
63.8 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
-6.2 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
-8.7 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
3.2 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
20201.1 bn362 m33.4 %n/a
2021698 m389 m55.7 %-35.6 %
2022684 m124 m18.1 %-2.0 %
20231.0 bn739 m72.8 %+48.4 %
2024814 m376 m46.2 %-19.8 %
2025788 m503 m63.8 %-3.2 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.

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Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Assured Guaranty Ltd. over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
fragile accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
n/a
not applicable to banks and insurance
Piotroski Score
5 / 9
4 to 6: average accounts
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.58 x
high debt
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments9.5 bn8.0 bn8.1 bn2.5 bn2.4 bn
Total Debt1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn1.7 bn
Net Debt1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.6 bn1.3 bn
Equity6.3 bn5.1 bn5.7 bn5.5 bn5.7 bn
Total assets18.2 bn16.8 bn12.5 bn11.9 bn12.2 bn
Operating cash flow-1.9 bn-2.5 bn461 m47.0 m259 m
Investments (capex)0-25.0 m000
Free cash-flow-1.9 bn-2.5 bn461 m47.0 m259 m
Share buybacks496 m500 m199 m502 m534 m
Dividends paid66.0 m64.0 m67.0 m68.0 m68.0 m

Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)10.52 x
Price / book value0.60 x
Return on Equity (ROE)5.9 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)3.9 %
Net margin36.8 %
Debt / equity0.32 x
Current ratio0.00 x
Interest coverage4.06 x
Free cash-flow yield11.2 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.

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Valuation and competitors

Assured Guaranty Ltd. compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.

Company P/E
8.9
51.3 % below the sector
Sector median P/E
18.3
financial services, NYSE
Sector over 10 years
18.3
10-year median, range 15.0 to 24.9

Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on . Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.

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Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Assured Guaranty Ltd. publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
buy
10 analysts

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 0buy 9hold 1sell 0strong sell 0

Price targets: published for companies listed in the United States only.

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 9 times over the last 12 releases.

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

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Dividends and earnings

Assured Guaranty Ltd.: dividend history, last distributions, stock splits and earnings releases.

Frequency
quarterly
Last dividend
0.380 USD
ex-dividend on 18/11/2026
Last 12 months
1.48 USD
number of payments: 4
Yield
1.6 %
on the last known price
Years of increases
15
consecutive
Years of payments
22
uninterrupted

● Next ex-dividend date: 18/11/2026, 0.380 USD per share.

00.380.761.141.522007 : 0.160 USD2008 : 0.180 USD20082009 : 0.180 USD2010 : 0.180 USD20102011 : 0.180 USD2012 : 0.360 USD20122013 : 0.400 USD2014 : 0.440 USD20142015 : 0.480 USD2016 : 0.520 USD20162017 : 0.570 USD2018 : 0.640 USD20182019 : 0.720 USD2020 : 0.800 USD20202021 : 0.880 USD2022 : 1.00 USD20222023 : 1.12 USD2024 : 1.24 USD20242025 : 1.36 USD2026 : 1.52 USD2026

Annual dividend per share (USD), adjusted for splits. Light bar: current year, incomplete. Red bar: lower than the previous year.

Latest ex-dividend dates

Ex-dividendAmountPayment
18/11/20260.380 USD02/12/2026
20/08/20260.380 USD03/09/2026
15/05/20260.380 USD29/05/2026
06/03/20260.380 USD20/03/2026
19/11/20250.340 USD03/12/2025
20/08/20250.340 USD03/09/2025
16/05/20250.340 USD30/05/2025
05/03/20250.340 USD19/03/2025

Earnings releases

DatePublished EPSExpected EPSSurprise
06/08/20261.231.51-18.5 %
07/05/20262.501.50+66.7 %
26/02/20262.321.54+50.6 %
06/11/20252.421.54+57.1 %
07/08/20251.011.57-35.7 %
08/05/20253.183.15+1.0 %

Factual data: ex-dividend history and earnings calendar, as of 05/11/2026. A past dividend does not guarantee the next one.

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Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Large funds tracked
25
hold the stock as of 2026Q2

Large funds tracked

FundSharesValue (USD)Weight in the fundChangeQuarter
Vanguard Group6.2 m553 m0.0 %-2.8 %2025Q4
BlackRock5.8 m464 m0.0 %+0.1 %2026Q2
State Street3.2 m254 m0.0 %+101.8 %2026Q2
AQR Capital Management1.4 m112 m0.0 %+62.1 %2026Q2
Geode Capital Management716,70357.5 m0.0 %-2.4 %2026Q2
Morgan Stanley594,40647.6 m0.0 %+4.3 %2026Q2
Goldman Sachs573,96446.0 m0.0 %+0.5 %2026Q2
Norges Bank537,84543.1 m0.0 %-6.2 %2026Q2

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 08/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

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PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
head office outside the EU and EEA
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 23/04/2004
ISIN code
BMG0585R1060
Workforce
361
full-time employees
Chief executive
Dominic John Frederico CPA

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

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Frequently asked questions about Assured Guaranty Ltd.

What is the Assured Guaranty Ltd. share price?

Latest recorded price: 73.45 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 3.2 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Assured Guaranty Ltd.?

788 m USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 503 m USD (net margin 63.8 %).

Does Assured Guaranty Ltd. pay a dividend?

Yes. Latest dividend: 0.380 USD per share, ex-dividend on 18/11/2026. Over 12 months: 1.48 USD. Yield on the latest known price: 1.6 %.

What do analysts say about Assured Guaranty Ltd.?

Out of 10 analysts: 9 buy or strong buy, 1 hold, 0 sell or strong sell.

What is the P/E ratio of Assured Guaranty Ltd.?

Trailing 12-month P/E of 8.9, against 18.3 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 18.3).

Is Assured Guaranty Ltd. stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: the company is headquartered outside the European Union and the European Economic Area (ISIN BMG0585R1060).

How many employees does Assured Guaranty Ltd. have?

361 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Assured Guaranty Ltd.?

Dominic John Frederico CPA is the company's chief executive.

Which large funds own Assured Guaranty Ltd.?

As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: Vanguard Group, BlackRock, State Street, AQR Capital Management, Geode Capital Management.

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