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Stock Harley-Davidson, Inc. HOG

Harley-Davidson, Inc. — Investlytic score 2/5 on the five criteria.

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40/ 100
Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 2/5 criteria met. Data as of 03/10/2026.

  • ❌ Price trend failed
  • ❌ Growth failed
  • ❌ Debt failed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ✅ Correction passed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).

Price change 2018 → 2019: 9.00%

Price change 2019 → 2020: -1.32%

Price change 2020 → 2021: 2.70%

Price change 2021 → 2022: 10.37%

Price change 2022 → 2023: -11.44%

Price change 2023 → 2024: -18.21%

Price change 2024 → 2025: -31.99%

Price change 2025 → 2026: 21.18%

Price change 2026 (year to date): 20.30%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): -3.44%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): -6.23%

Growth status: weak or negative trend (<1%/yr) in revenue and earnings.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.97

Debt/equity > 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 15.06

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 12.72% from the high over 6 months.

Correction between 10.0% and 20.0% (target range).

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Criteria of the Investlytic model

- / 5
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Score out of 100, model verdict (buy, watch, sell) and details of the 5 criteria · visible with a free account.

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Price trend

Price & trend

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⚖️ Comparison with the market

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StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Harley-Davidson, Inc.–0.97−0.6 %🔒
Brembo S.p.A.11.00.60+8.6 %–
SEB S.A.26.11.07+5.5 %–
Linamar Corporation7.70.34+10.7 %★ 4/5
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.8.11.62+10.7 %–

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

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Detailed analysis · Price trend

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Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

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Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

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Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

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Financial indicators

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18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

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Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
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Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

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Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Harley-Davidson, Inc. over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
4.5 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
339 m USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
7.6 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
+2.0 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
-2.9 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
3.4 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
20204.1 bn1.3 m0.0 %n/a
20215.3 bn650 m12.2 %+31.6 %
20225.8 bn741 m12.9 %+7.8 %
20235.8 bn707 m12.1 %+1.4 %
20245.2 bn455 m8.8 %-11.1 %
20254.5 bn339 m7.6 %-13.8 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.

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Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Harley-Davidson, Inc. over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
average accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
2.02
gray zone (1.81 to 2.99)
Piotroski Score
5 / 9
4 to 6: average accounts
DCF Value
48.09 USD
DCF above share price · share price 32.84 USD, gap +46.4 %
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.43 x
net cash
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments1.9 bn1.4 bn1.5 bn1.6 bn3.1 bn
Total Debt6.9 bn7.0 bn7.2 bn7.0 bn3.1 bn
Net Debt5.1 bn5.5 bn5.7 bn5.4 bn-38.0 m
Equity2.6 bn2.9 bn3.3 bn3.2 bn3.1 bn
Total assets11.1 bn11.5 bn12.1 bn11.9 bn8.0 bn
Operating cash flow976 m548 m755 m1.1 bn569 m
Investments (capex)120 m152 m207 m197 m154 m
Free cash-flow856 m397 m547 m867 m415 m
Share buybacks11.6 m339 m364 m460 m353 m
Dividends paid92.4 m93.2 m96.3 m91.2 m86.4 m

Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)-30.81 x
Price / book value1.11 x
Return on Equity (ROE)-4.3 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)-3.7 %
Net margin-3.4 %
Debt / equity0.79 x
Current ratio1.97 x
Interest coverage-53.86 x
Free cash-flow yield9.2 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.

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Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Harley-Davidson, Inc. publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
hold
36 analysts
Average price target
30.00 USD
from n/a to n/a, 17 targets over 12 months
Gap with the share price
-3.9 %
price 31.22 USD on 30/10/2026

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 0buy 10hold 22sell 4strong sell 0

Analysts' average target 30.00 USD, DCF value 48.09 USD, share price 31.22 USD.

Average target over the last 3 months: 30.00 USD (4 targets).

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 7 times over the last 12 releases.

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

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Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Large funds tracked
23
hold the stock as of 2026Q2
Executives (insiders)
3 / 3
3 purchases, 3 sales in 130 days
US elected officials
7
5 purchases, 2 sales in 12 months

Large funds tracked

FundSharesValue (USD)Weight in the fundChangeQuarter
BlackRock10.2 m249 m0.0 %-3.9 %2026Q2
Vanguard Group11.4 m235 m0.0 %-11.7 %2025Q4
State Street8.5 m207 m0.0 %+123.2 %2026Q2
Geode Capital Management3.0 m73.3 m0.0 %+31.1 %2026Q2
AQR Capital Management2.6 m63.8 m0.0 %+64.1 %2026Q2
D. E. Shaw & Co2.3 m55.6 m0.0 %+98.8 %2026Q2
Two Sigma Investments1.9 m45.5 m0.0 %-38.9 %2026Q2
Bank of America1.8 m45.1 m0.0 %+6.2 %2026Q2

Latest insider transactions

DatePersonSideAmount
01/10/2026Root Jonathan Rsale38,086 USD
01/09/2026Root Jonathan Rsale42,673 USD
11/08/2026Littleton Gaylepurchase197,850 USD
10/08/2026Starrs Artiepurchase258,941 USD
03/08/2026Root Jonathan Rsale38,664 USD
31/07/2026Nova Daniel Jpurchase982,700 USD

Elected officials' disclosures

DateOfficialSideAmount
07/04/2026Tim Mooresale$50,001 - $100,000
12/03/2026Tim Moorepurchase$15,001 - $50,000
23/01/2026Tim Moorepurchase$15,001 - $50,000
18/12/2025Tim Moorepurchase$15,001 - $50,000
09/12/2025Tim Moorepurchase$15,001 - $50,000

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 08/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

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PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
head office outside the EU and EEA
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 08/07/1986
ISIN code
US4128221086
Workforce
5,900
full-time employees
Chief executive
Jochen Zeitz

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

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Frequently asked questions about Harley-Davidson, Inc.

What is the Harley-Davidson, Inc. share price?

Latest recorded price: 32.66 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 3.4 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Harley-Davidson, Inc.?

4.5 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 339 m USD (net margin 7.6 %).

What do analysts say about Harley-Davidson, Inc.?

Out of 36 analysts: 10 buy or strong buy, 22 hold, 4 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 30.00 USD, i.e. -3.9 % from the share price.

Is Harley-Davidson, Inc. stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: the company is headquartered outside the European Union and the European Economic Area (ISIN US4128221086).

How many employees does Harley-Davidson, Inc. have?

5,900 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Harley-Davidson, Inc.?

Jochen Zeitz is the company's chief executive.

Which large funds own Harley-Davidson, Inc.?

As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, Geode Capital Management, AQR Capital Management.

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