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Investlytic score: 2/5 criteria met. Data as of 01/11/2026.
- ❌ Price trend failed
- ⚠️ Mixed growth
- ✅ Debt passed
- ✅ P/E passed
- ❌ Correction failed
Price trend
Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).
Price change 2018 → 2019: -19.07%
Price change 2019 → 2020: 7.16%
Price change 2020 → 2021: 158.48%
Price change 2021 → 2022: -23.68%
Price change 2022 → 2023: -25.23%
Price change 2023 → 2024: 11.12%
Price change 2024 → 2025: 40.66%
Price change 2025 → 2026: -26.25%
Price change 2026 (year to date): -30.69%
Financial growth
Revenue CAGR (8 years): -0.74%
Earnings CAGR (8 years): 24.47%
Growth status: positive trend (>1%/yr) in revenue OR earnings, but not both.
Debt
Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.45
Debt/equity < 0.5 (maximum threshold).
P/E (Price/Earnings)
P/E ratio: 8.23
P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).
Correction (6 months)
Current correction: 53.23% from the high over 6 months.
Excessive correction (> 20.0%).
Criteria of the Investlytic model
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<script src="https://investlytic.co/encart.js" data-symbole="AA" data-lang="en"></script>Price trend
Price & trend
Interactive chart →💰 Dividend
Dividend ranking →⚖️ Comparison with the market
All stocks →| Stock | P/E | Dette/FP | Revenue growth | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoa Corporation | 8.2 | 0.45 | −4.8 % | 🔒 |
| Albemarle Corporation | 15.2 | 0.35 | +5.3 % | – |
| Hecla Mining Company | 18.8 | 0.11 | +8.5 % | – |
| Syensqo SA/NV | 30.1 | 0.49 | +1.4 % | – |
| Boliden AB | 11.2 | 0.31 | +6.4 % | ★ 5/5 |
Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.
Detailed analysis · Price trend
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Revenues & profits
Revenue and net income
Financial indicators
Annual financial statements
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | Net margin | EPS | Revenue growth |
|---|
Key reported figures
Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Alcoa Corporation over the latest fiscal years.
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | Net margin | Revenue growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 9.4 bn | -170 m | -1.8 % | n/a |
| 2021 | 12.4 bn | 429 m | 3.5 % | +32.7 % |
| 2022 | 12.8 bn | -123 m | -1.0 % | +2.6 % |
| 2023 | 10.7 bn | -651 m | -6.1 % | -16.1 % |
| 2024 | 12.2 bn | 60.0 m | 0.5 % | +13.8 % |
| 2025 | 12.8 bn | 1.2 bn | 9.0 % | +5.3 % |
Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.
Accounts and financial health
Balance sheet and cash flow published by Alcoa Corporation over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).
| Fiscal year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and investments | 1.8 bn | 1.4 bn | 944 m | 1.1 bn | 1.7 bn |
| Total Debt | 1.9 bn | 1.9 bn | 2.0 bn | 2.8 bn | 2.7 bn |
| Net Debt | 52.0 m | 503 m | 1.0 bn | 1.7 bn | 1.1 bn |
| Equity | 4.7 bn | 5.1 bn | 4.3 bn | 5.2 bn | 6.1 bn |
| Total assets | 15.0 bn | 14.8 bn | 14.2 bn | 14.1 bn | 16.1 bn |
| Operating cash flow | 920 m | 822 m | 91.0 m | 622 m | 1.2 bn |
| Investments (capex) | 390 m | 480 m | 531 m | 580 m | 618 m |
| Free cash-flow | 530 m | 342 m | -440 m | 42.0 m | 567 m |
| Share buybacks | 150 m | 500 m | 0 | 15.0 m | 0 |
| Dividends paid | 19.0 m | 72.0 m | 72.0 m | 89.0 m | 104 m |
Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.
Trailing 12-month ratios
Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.
Valuation and competitors
Alcoa Corporation compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.
Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on . Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.
Analyst consensus and forecasts
What the financial analysts covering Alcoa Corporation publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.
Breakdown of ratings
Analysts' average target 60.43 USD, DCF value 14.76 USD, share price 39.19 USD.
Average target over the last 3 months: 59.00 USD (3 targets).
Analyst forecasts
| Fiscal year | Revenue | Net income | Expected EPS (range) | P/E on this EPS | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14.7 bn | 1.8 bn | 6.89 (6.59 / 7.03) | 5.7 | 8 |
| 2027 | 14.9 bn | 1.4 bn | 5.48 (4.32 / 7.48) | 7.1 | 8 |
| 2028 | 14.0 bn | 1.3 bn | 4.93 (3.48 / 6.08) | 8.0 | 5 |
Amounts in USD, the reporting currency.
Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 9 times over the last 12 releases.
Rating changes (12 months)
| Date | Firm | Before | After |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2026 | Argus Research | Buy | Hold |
| 20/10/2026 | Citigroup | Buy | Buy |
| 20/10/2026 | Freedom Broker | Buy | Buy |
| 20/10/2026 | B. Riley Securities | Buy | Buy |
| 07/10/2026 | JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral |
Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.
Who owns the stock
Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Alcoa Corporation.
Large funds tracked
| Fund | Shares | Value (USD) | Weight in the fund | Change | Quarter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock | 29.3 m | 1.5 bn | 0.0 % | +3.3 % | 2026Q2 |
| Vanguard Group | 25.1 m | 1.3 bn | 0.0 % | -0.3 % | 2025Q4 |
| State Street | 21.8 m | 1.1 bn | 0.0 % | +99.9 % | 2026Q2 |
| Fidelity | 17.0 m | 886 m | 0.0 % | +32.2 % | 2026Q2 |
| Geode Capital Management | 5.8 m | 304 m | 0.0 % | -1.9 % | 2026Q2 |
| AQR Capital Management | 4.1 m | 213 m | 0.1 % | -21.0 % | 2026Q2 |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.6 m | 187 m | 0.0 % | -12.4 % | 2026Q2 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co | 3.6 m | 187 m | 0.1 % | -0.7 % | 2026Q2 |
Latest insider transactions
| Date | Person | Side | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2026 | Bacchi Renato | sale | 35,714 USD |
| 27/08/2026 | Jones Tammi A | sale | 790,733 USD |
| 17/08/2026 | Hastings Andrew | sale | 305,412 USD |
| 22/07/2026 | Reed Matthew T | sale | 215,372 USD |
Elected officials' disclosures
| Date | Official | Side | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | Michael T. McCaul | sale | $1,001 - $15,000 |
| 23/10/2024 | Julia Letlow | purchase | $1,001 - $15,000 |
Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 08/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.
PEA and practical information
Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.
Frequently asked questions about Alcoa Corporation
What is the Alcoa Corporation share price?
Latest recorded price: 39.54 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 10.4 bn USD.
What is the revenue of Alcoa Corporation?
12.8 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 1.2 bn USD (net margin 9.0 %).
When does Alcoa Corporation report its next earnings?
The next release is expected on 28/01/2027. EPS expected by analysts: 1.56.
What do analysts say about Alcoa Corporation?
Out of 42 analysts: 22 buy or strong buy, 19 hold, 1 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 60.43 USD, i.e. +54.2 % from the share price.
What is the P/E ratio of Alcoa Corporation?
Trailing 12-month P/E of 8.3, against 21.4 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 24.7).
Is Alcoa Corporation stock eligible for the French PEA?
No: the company is headquartered outside the European Union and the European Economic Area (ISIN US0138721065).
How many employees does Alcoa Corporation have?
13,900 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.
Who runs Alcoa Corporation?
William F. Oplinger is the company's chief executive.
Which large funds own Alcoa Corporation?
As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, Fidelity, Geode Capital Management.