🕒 Last update: loading…09/11/2026

Stock Alcoa Corporation AA

Alcoa Corporation — Investlytic score 2/5 on the five criteria.

-
-
40/ 100
Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 2/5 criteria met. Data as of 01/11/2026.

  • ❌ Price trend failed
  • ⚠️ Mixed growth
  • ✅ Debt passed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ❌ Correction failed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).

Price change 2018 → 2019: -19.07%

Price change 2019 → 2020: 7.16%

Price change 2020 → 2021: 158.48%

Price change 2021 → 2022: -23.68%

Price change 2022 → 2023: -25.23%

Price change 2023 → 2024: 11.12%

Price change 2024 → 2025: 40.66%

Price change 2025 → 2026: -26.25%

Price change 2026 (year to date): -30.69%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): -0.74%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): 24.47%

Growth status: positive trend (>1%/yr) in revenue OR earnings, but not both.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.45

Debt/equity < 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 8.23

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 53.23% from the high over 6 months.

Excessive correction (> 20.0%).

WATCH
The stock is currently being evaluated.

Criteria of the Investlytic model

- / 5
🔒

Investlytic rating reserved for members

Score out of 100, model verdict (buy, watch, sell) and details of the 5 criteria · visible with a free account.

02

Price trend

Price & trend

Interactive chart →
Loading chart…

⚖️ Comparison with the market

All stocks →
StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Alcoa Corporation8.20.45−4.8 %🔒
Albemarle Corporation15.20.35+5.3 %–
Hecla Mining Company18.80.11+8.5 %–
Syensqo SA/NV30.10.49+1.4 %–
Boliden AB11.20.31+6.4 %★ 5/5

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

03

Detailed analysis · Price trend

-

🔒

Reserved for members

Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

04

Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

🔒

Reserved for members

Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

05

Financial indicators

🔒

Reserved for members

18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

06

Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
🔒

Reserved for members

Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

+

Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Alcoa Corporation over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
12.8 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
1.2 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
9.0 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
+6.5 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
+1.4 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
10.4 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
20209.4 bn-170 m-1.8 %n/a
202112.4 bn429 m3.5 %+32.7 %
202212.8 bn-123 m-1.0 %+2.6 %
202310.7 bn-651 m-6.1 %-16.1 %
202412.2 bn60.0 m0.5 %+13.8 %
202512.8 bn1.2 bn9.0 %+5.3 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.

+

Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Alcoa Corporation over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
average accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
1.88
gray zone (1.81 to 2.99)
Piotroski Score
5 / 9
4 to 6: average accounts
DCF Value
14.76 USD
DCF below share price · share price 39.50 USD, gap -62.6 %
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.17 x
low debt
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments1.8 bn1.4 bn944 m1.1 bn1.7 bn
Total Debt1.9 bn1.9 bn2.0 bn2.8 bn2.7 bn
Net Debt52.0 m503 m1.0 bn1.7 bn1.1 bn
Equity4.7 bn5.1 bn4.3 bn5.2 bn6.1 bn
Total assets15.0 bn14.8 bn14.2 bn14.1 bn16.1 bn
Operating cash flow920 m822 m91.0 m622 m1.2 bn
Investments (capex)390 m480 m531 m580 m618 m
Free cash-flow530 m342 m-440 m42.0 m567 m
Share buybacks150 m500 m015.0 m0
Dividends paid19.0 m72.0 m72.0 m89.0 m104 m

Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)6.76 x
Price / book value1.27 x
Return on Equity (ROE)21.4 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)9.2 %
Net margin10.7 %
Debt / equity0.58 x
Current ratio2.31 x
Interest coverage12.52 x
Free cash-flow yield7.3 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.

+

Valuation and competitors

Alcoa Corporation compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.

Company P/E
8.3
61.2 % below the sector
Sector median P/E
21.4
basic materials, NYSE
Sector over 10 years
24.7
10-year median, range 15.8 to 46.3

Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on . Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.

+

Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Alcoa Corporation publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
buy
42 analysts
Average price target
60.43 USD
from 53.00 USD to 70.00 USD, 21 targets over 12 months
Gap with the share price
+54.2 %
price 39.19 USD on 30/10/2026

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 1buy 21hold 19sell 1strong sell 0

Analysts' average target 60.43 USD, DCF value 14.76 USD, share price 39.19 USD.

Average target over the last 3 months: 59.00 USD (3 targets).

Analyst forecasts

Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeExpected EPS (range)P/E on this EPSAnalysts
202614.7 bn1.8 bn6.89 (6.59 / 7.03)5.78
202714.9 bn1.4 bn5.48 (4.32 / 7.48)7.18
202814.0 bn1.3 bn4.93 (3.48 / 6.08)8.05

Amounts in USD, the reporting currency.

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 9 times over the last 12 releases.

Rating changes (12 months)

DateFirmBeforeAfter
22/10/2026Argus ResearchBuyHold
20/10/2026CitigroupBuyBuy
20/10/2026Freedom BrokerBuyBuy
20/10/2026B. Riley SecuritiesBuyBuy
07/10/2026JP MorganNeutralNeutral

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

+

Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Alcoa Corporation.

Large funds tracked
28
hold the stock as of 2026Q2
Executives (insiders)
0 / 4
0 purchases, 4 sales in 130 days
US elected officials
2
1 purchases, 1 sales in 12 months

Large funds tracked

FundSharesValue (USD)Weight in the fundChangeQuarter
BlackRock29.3 m1.5 bn0.0 %+3.3 %2026Q2
Vanguard Group25.1 m1.3 bn0.0 %-0.3 %2025Q4
State Street21.8 m1.1 bn0.0 %+99.9 %2026Q2
Fidelity17.0 m886 m0.0 %+32.2 %2026Q2
Geode Capital Management5.8 m304 m0.0 %-1.9 %2026Q2
AQR Capital Management4.1 m213 m0.1 %-21.0 %2026Q2
Morgan Stanley3.6 m187 m0.0 %-12.4 %2026Q2
D. E. Shaw & Co3.6 m187 m0.1 %-0.7 %2026Q2

Latest insider transactions

DatePersonSideAmount
31/08/2026Bacchi Renatosale35,714 USD
27/08/2026Jones Tammi Asale790,733 USD
17/08/2026Hastings Andrewsale305,412 USD
22/07/2026Reed Matthew Tsale215,372 USD

Elected officials' disclosures

DateOfficialSideAmount
13/01/2026Michael T. McCaulsale$1,001 - $15,000
23/10/2024Julia Letlowpurchase$1,001 - $15,000

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 08/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

+

PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
head office outside the EU and EEA
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 01/11/2016
ISIN code
US0138721065
Workforce
13,900
full-time employees
Chief executive
William F. Oplinger
Next earnings
28/01/2027

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

?

Frequently asked questions about Alcoa Corporation

What is the Alcoa Corporation share price?

Latest recorded price: 39.54 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 10.4 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Alcoa Corporation?

12.8 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 1.2 bn USD (net margin 9.0 %).

When does Alcoa Corporation report its next earnings?

The next release is expected on 28/01/2027. EPS expected by analysts: 1.56.

What do analysts say about Alcoa Corporation?

Out of 42 analysts: 22 buy or strong buy, 19 hold, 1 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 60.43 USD, i.e. +54.2 % from the share price.

What is the P/E ratio of Alcoa Corporation?

Trailing 12-month P/E of 8.3, against 21.4 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 24.7).

Is Alcoa Corporation stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: the company is headquartered outside the European Union and the European Economic Area (ISIN US0138721065).

How many employees does Alcoa Corporation have?

13,900 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Alcoa Corporation?

William F. Oplinger is the company's chief executive.

Which large funds own Alcoa Corporation?

As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: BlackRock, Vanguard Group, State Street, Fidelity, Geode Capital Management.

07

Similar stocks