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Stock Ecopetrol S.A. EC

Ecopetrol S.A. — Investlytic score 2/5 on the five criteria.

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Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 2/5 criteria met. Data as of 01/11/2026.

  • ❌ Price trend failed
  • ⚠️ Mixed growth
  • ❌ Debt failed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ✅ Correction passed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).

Price change 2018 → 2019: 25.69%

Price change 2019 → 2020: -35.32%

Price change 2020 → 2021: -0.15%

Price change 2021 → 2022: -18.77%

Price change 2022 → 2023: 13.85%

Price change 2023 → 2024: -33.56%

Price change 2024 → 2025: 26.52%

Price change 2025 → 2026: 60.57%

Price change 2026 (year to date): 57.43%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): 7.18%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): -4.25%

Growth status: positive trend (>1%/yr) in revenue OR earnings, but not both.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 1.30

Debt/equity > 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 9.33

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 11.89% from the high over 6 months.

Correction between 10.0% and 20.0% (target range).

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Criteria of the Investlytic model

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Investlytic rating reserved for members

Score out of 100, model verdict (buy, watch, sell) and details of the 5 criteria · visible with a free account.

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Price trend

Price & trend

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⚖️ Comparison with the market

All stocks →
StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Ecopetrol S.A.10.01.30+6.7 %🔒
Occidental Petroleum Corporation14.50.67+0.9 %–
ConocoPhillips19.90.36−7.5 %★ 4/5
TotalEnergies SE11.50.53−0.2 %–
Rubis10.80.79+10.6 %–

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

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Detailed analysis · Price trend

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Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

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Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

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Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

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Financial indicators

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18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

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Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
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Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

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Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Ecopetrol S.A. over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
34.4 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
2.6 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
7.5 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
+17.3 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
+7.9 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
32.0 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
202015.5 bn490 m3.2 %n/a
202128.4 bn4.8 bn17.0 %+82.9 %
202249.3 bn9.8 bn19.8 %+73.7 %
202344.2 bn6.5 bn14.7 %-10.3 %
202441.2 bn4.3 bn10.4 %-6.9 %
202534.4 bn2.6 bn7.5 %-16.4 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 06/11/2026.

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Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Ecopetrol S.A. over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
average accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
1.33
risk zone (below 1.81)
Piotroski Score
8 / 9
7 to 9: solid accounts
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.03 x
moderate debt
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments16,177 bn16,563 bn14,197 bn14,906 bn12,519 bn
Total Debt95,061 bn115,135 bn105,816 bn119,965 bn109,084 bn
Net Debt80,511 bn99,734 bn93,479 bn105,911 bn98,401 bn
Equity68,490 bn91,035 bn78,392 bn83,697 bn83,671 bn
Total assets242,427 bn306,370 bn282,281 bn301,345 bn283,834 bn
Operating cash flow21,221 bn36,280 bn14,422 bn42,828 bn25,297 bn
Investments (capex)14,340 bn23,922 bn22,291 bn22,603 bn20,431 bn
Free cash-flow14,622 bn26,693 bn5,771 bn32,544 bn16,195 bn
Share buybacks092.8 bn41.4 bn33.1 bn16.8 bn
Dividends paid2,989 bn14,605 bn5,155 bn16,811 bn10,913 bn

Amounts in COP, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)8.29 x
Price / book value1.26 x
Return on Equity (ROE)15.3 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)8.7 %
Net margin10.1 %
Debt / equity1.24 x
Current ratio1.51 x
Interest coverage4.89 x
Free cash-flow yield13.5 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 09/11/2026.

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Valuation and competitors

Ecopetrol S.A. compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.

Company P/E
9.0
40.4 % below the sector
Sector median P/E
15.1
energy, NYSE
Sector over 10 years
19.4
10-year median, range 10.3 to 54.5

Direct competitors

CompanyMarket cap (USD)P/ENet margin
Ecopetrol S.A.35.3 bn10.07.5 %
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras PBR142 bn5.322.1 %
YPF Sociedad Anónima YPF18.4 bn24.7-4.7 %
Chevron Corporation CVX465 bn21.76.7 %
Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM770 bn22.68.9 %
Shell plc SHEL309 bn12.16.7 %
BP p.l.c. BP132 bn10.30.0 %
Suncor Energy Inc. SU93.8 bn14.312.1 %
Sector median (NYSE)15.1

Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on . Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.

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Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Ecopetrol S.A. publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
hold
12 analysts
Average price target
17.57 USD
from 16.00 USD to 19.00 USD, 7 targets over 12 months
Gap with the share price
+2.2 %
price 17.19 USD on 30/10/2026

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 0buy 3hold 7sell 2strong sell 0

Average target over the last 3 months: 17.57 USD (3 targets).

Analyst forecasts

Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeExpected EPS (range)P/E on this EPSAnalysts
2026127,095 bn16,623 bn8,099.22 (7,486.13 / 8,680.04)n/a4
2027120,120 bn13,521 bn6,587.82 (4,757.87 / 8,417.77)n/a4
2028118,033 bn12,630 bn6,153.74 (5,256.35 / 7,132.58)n/a2

Amounts in COP, the reporting currency.

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 3 times over the last 12 releases.

Rating changes (12 months)

DateFirmBeforeAfter
29/10/2026JefferiesUnderperformHold
14/08/2026UBSNeutralNeutral
03/06/2026CitigroupBuyNeutral
01/06/2026JP MorganNeutralNeutral
27/05/2026UBSNeutralNeutral

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 07/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

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Dividends and earnings

Ecopetrol S.A.: dividend history, last distributions, stock splits and earnings releases.

Frequency
annual
Last dividend
0.649 USD
ex-dividend on 29/04/2026
Last 12 months
0.649 USD
number of payments: 1
Years of increases
0
consecutive
Years of payments
9
uninterrupted
00.841.682.523.362008 : 0.501 USD20082009 : 2.06 USD2010 : 0.977 USD20102011 : 1.62 USD2012 : 3.36 USD20122013 : 3.21 USD2014 : 2.67 USD20142015 : 1.04 USD2016 : 0.0000 USD20162017 : 0.161 USD2018 : 0.637 USD20182019 : 1.98 USD2020 : 0.894 USD20202021 : 0.0932 USD2022 : 2.29 USD20222023 : 2.81 USD2024 : 1.57 USD20242025 : 1.51 USD2026 : 0.649 USD2026

Annual dividend per share (USD), adjusted for splits. Light bar: current year, incomplete. Red bar: lower than the previous year.

Latest ex-dividend dates

Ex-dividendAmountPayment
29/04/20260.649 USD07/05/2026
26/06/20250.520 USD07/07/2025
28/04/20250.506 USD06/05/2025
03/04/20250.486 USD11/04/2025
25/06/20240.750 USD03/07/2024
04/04/20240.821 USD10/04/2024
19/12/20231.01 USD29/12/2023
26/09/20230.969 USD12/10/2023

Earnings releases

Next release: 10/11/2026. Expected EPS: 0.62.

DatePublished EPSExpected EPSSurprise
03/08/20260.820.86-4.7 %
12/05/20260.380.54-29.0 %
04/03/20260.220.23-6.3 %
11/11/20250.310.00+309,900.0 %
13/08/20250.210.33-36.4 %
06/05/20250.310.36-14.0 %

Factual data: ex-dividend history and earnings calendar, as of 05/11/2026. A past dividend does not guarantee the next one.

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Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Ecopetrol S.A.

Free float
100.0 %
share of freely traded shares

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 01/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

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PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
depositary receipt (ADR)
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 18/09/2008
ISIN code
US2791581091
Workforce
18,903
full-time employees
Chief executive
Ricardo Roa Barragan
Next earnings
10/11/2026

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

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Frequently asked questions about Ecopetrol S.A.

What is the Ecopetrol S.A. share price?

Latest recorded price: 15.55 USD on 06/11/2026, for a market cap of 32.0 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Ecopetrol S.A.?

34.4 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 2.6 bn USD (net margin 7.5 %).

Does Ecopetrol S.A. pay a dividend?

Yes. Latest dividend: 0.649 USD per share, ex-dividend on 29/04/2026. Over 12 months: 0.649 USD.

When does Ecopetrol S.A. report its next earnings?

The next release is expected on 10/11/2026. EPS expected by analysts: 0.62.

What do analysts say about Ecopetrol S.A.?

Out of 12 analysts: 3 buy or strong buy, 7 hold, 2 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 17.57 USD, i.e. +2.2 % from the share price.

What is the P/E ratio of Ecopetrol S.A.?

Trailing 12-month P/E of 9.0, against 15.1 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 19.4).

Is Ecopetrol S.A. stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: this listing is a depositary receipt (ADR), excluded from the PEA.

How many employees does Ecopetrol S.A. have?

18,903 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Ecopetrol S.A.?

Ricardo Roa Barragan is the company's chief executive.

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