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Stock Vale S.A. VALE

Vale S.A. — Investlytic score 1/5 on the five criteria.

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20/ 100
Score Investlytic · 5 criteria

Analysis in progress…

Investlytic score: 1/5 criteria met.

  • ❌ Price trend failed
  • ❌ Growth failed
  • ❌ Debt failed
  • ✅ P/E passed
  • ❌ Correction failed

Price trend

Overall trend (8 years): insufficient progression (less than x1.5).

Price change 2018 → 2019: 0.08%

Price change 2019 → 2020: 26.97%

Price change 2020 → 2021: -16.35%

Price change 2021 → 2022: 21.04%

Price change 2022 → 2023: -6.54%

Price change 2023 → 2024: -44.07%

Price change 2024 → 2025: 46.90%

Price change 2025 → 2026: 3.22%

Price change 2026 (year to date): 1.43%

Financial growth

Revenue CAGR (8 years): 0.64%

Earnings CAGR (8 years): -13.56%

Growth status: weak or negative trend (<1%/yr) in revenue and earnings.

Debt

Debt-to-equity ratio: 0.58

Debt/equity > 0.5 (maximum threshold).

P/E (Price/Earnings)

P/E ratio: 20.54

P/E < 25.0 (maximum threshold).

Correction (6 months)

Current correction: 24.52% from the high over 6 months.

Excessive correction (> 20.0%).

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Criteria of the Investlytic model

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Price trend

Price & trend

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⚖️ Comparison with the market

All stocks →
StockP/EDette/FPRevenue growthRating
Vale S.A.17.00.58−1.4 %🔒
Holcim Ltd97.30.62−2.1 %–
BASF Se27.80.74−0.5 %–
ArcelorMittal S.A.16.90.25−1.6 %–
Givaudan S.A.38.00.97+3.9 %–

Data from the Investlytic screener. The rating of the stock being viewed is reserved for members.

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Detailed analysis · Price trend

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Global model trend and annual price variations · visible with a free account.

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Revenues & profits

Revenue and net income

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Chart of revenues and net income over 8 periods · real data, no estimates.

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Financial indicators

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18 financial indicators analyzed by groups of criteria: valuation, profitability, growth, solidity, dividend, and momentum.

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Annual financial statements

Fiscal yearRevenueNet income Net marginEPSRevenue growth
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Complete annual financial statements: revenue, net income, margin, and EPS over 8 fiscal years.

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Key reported figures

Revenue, net income and net margin reported by Vale S.A. over the latest fiscal years.

Revenue
38.9 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net income
2.5 bn USD
fiscal year 2025
Net margin
6.5 %
fiscal year 2025
Average annual growth
-0.3 %
Revenue growth over 5 years
Average annual growth
+5.2 %
Revenue growth over 10 years
Market cap
48.5 bn USD
Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeNet marginRevenue growth
202039.5 bn4.9 bn12.3 %n/a
202154.5 bn22.4 bn41.2 %+37.8 %
202243.8 bn18.8 bn42.9 %-19.6 %
202341.8 bn8.0 bn19.1 %-4.7 %
202438.1 bn6.2 bn16.2 %-8.9 %
202538.9 bn2.5 bn6.5 %+2.2 %

Amounts converted to USD. Source: published annual accounts, collected on 30/10/2026.

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Accounts and financial health

Balance sheet and cash flow published by Vale S.A. over the last fiscal years, strength scores and valuation by discounted cash flow (DCF).

Overview
average accounts
according to Altman Z, Piotroski and net debt
Altman Z-score
1.60
risk zone (below 1.81)
Piotroski Score
7 / 9
7 to 9: solid accounts
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.69 x
moderate debt
Fiscal year20212022202320242025
Cash and investments11.9 bn4.8 bn3.7 bn5.0 bn7.6 bn
Total Debt17.2 bn15.4 bn16.8 bn17.7 bn19.4 bn
Net Debt5.5 bn10.7 bn13.2 bn12.8 bn12.0 bn
Equity34.5 bn35.9 bn39.3 bn33.4 bn33.6 bn
Total assets89.4 bn86.9 bn93.9 bn80.3 bn86.9 bn
Operating cash flow25.7 bn11.5 bn13.4 bn9.4 bn9.0 bn
Investments (capex)5.0 bn5.4 bn6.0 bn6.5 bn6.0 bn
Free cash-flow20.6 bn6.0 bn7.4 bn2.9 bn3.1 bn
Share buybacks5.5 bn6.0 bn2.7 bn381 m0
Dividends paid13.5 bn6.6 bn5.6 bn3.8 bn3.6 bn

Amounts in USD, currency of the published accounts.

Trailing 12-month ratios

Price / earnings (P/E)22.80 x
Price / book value1.28 x
Return on Equity (ROE)5.8 %
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)5.5 %
Net margin5.2 %
Debt / equity0.58 x
Current ratio1.19 x
Interest coverage7.11 x
Free cash-flow yield8.1 %

Altman Z: default risk estimated from the balance sheet and earnings. Piotroski: 9 tests on profitability, debt and efficiency. DCF: estimated value from discounted future cash flows, a model and not a forecast. Source: annual accounts published by the company, data as of 05/11/2026.

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Valuation and competitors

Vale S.A. compared with its sector on the same exchange and with its main competitors.

Company P/E
17.0
21.2 % below the sector
Sector median P/E
21.6
basic materials, NYSE
Sector over 10 years
24.7
10-year median, range 15.8 to 46.3

Direct competitors

CompanyMarket cap (USD)P/ENet margin
Vale S.A.48.5 bn17.06.5 %
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional SID948 mn/a-4.5 %
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. FCX89.8 bn28.18.6 %
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO150 bn23.432.3 %
Glencore plc GLNCY83.7 bn15.10.1 %
Anglo American plc NGLOY53.5 bnn/a-22.3 %
South32 Limited SHTLF14.0 bn12.93.7 %
Sector median (NYSE)21.6

Trailing 12-month P/E. Sector: median of companies in the same sector listed on the same exchange, collected on 02/11/2026. Competitors: comparable companies named by the data provider.

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Analyst consensus and forecasts

What the financial analysts covering Vale S.A. publish: ratings, price targets and earnings forecasts.

Majority rating
hold
37 analysts
Average price target
15.50 USD
from 12.50 USD to 19.00 USD, 25 targets over 12 months
Gap with the share price
+36.1 %
price 11.39 USD on 30/10/2026

Breakdown of ratings

strong buy 0buy 13hold 20sell 4strong sell 0

Average target over the last 3 months: 14.90 USD (5 targets).

Analyst forecasts

Fiscal yearRevenueNet incomeExpected EPS (range)P/E on this EPSAnalysts
202641.0 bn7.1 bn1.66 (1.52 / 1.84)6.87
202741.0 bn7.3 bn1.71 (1.56 / 1.86)6.77
202841.9 bn7.5 bn1.76 (1.71 / 1.82)6.54

Amounts in USD, the reporting currency.

Track record against expectations: reported EPS above consensus 4 times over the last 12 releases.

Rating changes (12 months)

DateFirmBeforeAfter
21/10/2026UBSNeutralNeutral
19/10/2026ScotiabankSector PerformSector Outperform
13/10/2026BarclaysEqual WeightEqual Weight
30/09/2026JP MorganOverweightOverweight
29/09/2026UBSNeutralNeutral

Source: ratings and forecasts published by analysts, collected on 03/11/2026. An analyst rating or target is not a guarantee.

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Dividends and earnings

Vale S.A.: dividend history, last distributions, stock splits and earnings releases.

Frequency
annual
Last dividend
0.395 USD
ex-dividend on 13/08/2026
Last 12 months
1.06 USD
number of payments: 2
Years of increases
0
consecutive
Years of payments
24
uninterrupted
00.681.352.032.702007 : 0.341 USD2008 : 0.562 USD20082009 : 0.480 USD2010 : 0.574 USD20102011 : 1.73 USD2012 : 1.15 USD20122013 : 0.874 USD2014 : 0.547 USD20142015 : 0.296 USD2016 : 0.0489 USD20162017 : 0.415 USD2018 : 0.549 USD20182019 : 0.347 USD2020 : 0.427 USD20202021 : 2.70 USD2022 : 1.47 USD20222023 : 1.23 USD2024 : 1.01 USD20242025 : 1.39 USD2026 : 0.395 USD2026

Annual dividend per share (USD), adjusted for splits. Light bar: current year, incomplete. Red bar: lower than the previous year.

Latest ex-dividend dates

Ex-dividendAmountPayment
13/08/20260.395 USD10/09/2026
12/12/20250.668 USD11/03/2026
13/08/20250.347 USD10/09/2025
10/03/20250.373 USD21/03/2025
12/12/20240.0905 USD21/03/2025
05/08/20240.371 USD11/09/2024
12/03/20240.544 USD26/03/2024
22/11/20230.474 USD08/12/2023

Earnings releases

DatePublished EPSExpected EPSSurprise
29/10/20260.290.38-24.5 %
30/07/20260.360.41-12.2 %
28/04/20260.440.47-6.4 %
12/02/2026-0.900.57-257.9 %
30/10/20250.630.49+28.6 %
31/07/20250.500.34+47.1 %

Stock splits

DateOperation
13/09/2007split: 2 shares for 1
07/06/2006split: 2 shares for 1
07/09/2004split: 3 shares for 1

Factual data: ex-dividend history and earnings calendar, as of 05/11/2026. A past dividend does not guarantee the next one.

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Who owns the stock

Free float, institutional investors, large funds, executives and elected officials: declared positions in Vale S.A.

Free float
95.7 %
share of freely traded shares
Large funds tracked
27
hold the stock as of 2026Q2
Executives (insiders)
8 / 0
8 purchases, 0 sales in 130 days
US elected officials
3
1 purchases, 2 sales in 12 months

Large funds tracked

FundSharesValue (USD)Weight in the fundChangeQuarter
Capital World Investors132 m2.0 bn0.2 %+25.4 %2026Q2
BlackRock63.8 m960 m0.0 %-13.5 %2026Q2
Fidelity55.3 m832 m0.0 %+2.2 %2026Q2
Morgan Stanley27.9 m420 m0.0 %-39.4 %2026Q2
Capital Research Global Investors24.5 m368 m0.1 %+184.4 %2026Q2
Fisher Asset Management22.7 m341 m0.1 %+0.8 %2026Q2
State Street19.9 m300 m0.0 %+88.7 %2026Q2
Bank of America17.9 m269 m0.0 %-18.1 %2026Q2

Latest insider transactions

DatePersonSideAmount
26/10/2026De Souza Funo Elaine Mariapurchase82 USD
22/10/2026De Souza Funo Elaine Mariapurchase3,012 USD
04/08/2026Viana Madeira Andrepurchase60 USD
03/08/2026Viana Madeira Andrepurchase73 USD
02/07/2026Viana Madeira Andrepurchase15 USD
01/07/2026Viana Madeira Andrepurchase15 USD

Elected officials' disclosures

DateOfficialSideAmount
31/10/2025Lisa C. McClainsale$1,001 - $15,000
30/10/2025Lisa C. McClainpurchase$1,001 - $15,000
30/10/2025Lisa C. McClainsale$1,001 - $15,000

Sources: 13F filings (quarter shown), executives' Form 4 filings and US Congress members' disclosures, collected on 05/11/2026. Detailed disclosure obligations mainly apply to companies listed in the United States.

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PEA and practical information

PEA eligibility
no
depositary receipt (ADR)
Listing exchange
NYSE
IPO: 21/03/2002
ISIN code
US91912E1055
Workforce
64,616
full-time employees
Chief executive
Gustavo Duarte Pimenta
Next earnings
11/02/2027

Rule applied: the French PEA accepts shares of companies headquartered in the European Union or the European Economic Area and subject to corporate income tax; ADRs and tax-exempt property companies (SIIC) are excluded. The institution holding the PEA confirms eligibility.

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Frequently asked questions about Vale S.A.

What is the Vale S.A. share price?

Latest recorded price: 11.39 USD on 30/10/2026, for a market cap of 48.5 bn USD.

What is the revenue of Vale S.A.?

38.9 bn USD for fiscal year 2025, with net income of 2.5 bn USD (net margin 6.5 %).

Does Vale S.A. pay a dividend?

Yes. Latest dividend: 0.395 USD per share, ex-dividend on 13/08/2026. Over 12 months: 1.06 USD.

When does Vale S.A. report its next earnings?

The next release is expected on 11/02/2027. EPS expected by analysts: 0.44.

What do analysts say about Vale S.A.?

Out of 37 analysts: 13 buy or strong buy, 20 hold, 4 sell or strong sell. Average price target: 15.50 USD, i.e. +36.1 % from the share price.

What is the P/E ratio of Vale S.A.?

Trailing 12-month P/E of 17.0, against 21.6 for the sector median on the same exchange (10-year median: 24.7).

Is Vale S.A. stock eligible for the French PEA?

No: this listing is a depositary receipt (ADR), excluded from the PEA.

How many employees does Vale S.A. have?

64,616 full-time employees according to the latest published profile.

Who runs Vale S.A.?

Gustavo Duarte Pimenta is the company's chief executive.

Which large funds own Vale S.A.?

As of 2026Q2, among the large funds tracked: Capital World Investors, BlackRock, Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Capital Research Global Investors.

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